{"id":1272,"date":"2022-03-17T11:12:38","date_gmt":"2022-03-17T11:12:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/?page_id=1272"},"modified":"2025-12-14T14:29:52","modified_gmt":"2025-12-14T14:29:52","slug":"e-world","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/en\/e-world\/","title":{"rendered":"E-World"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"1272\" class=\"elementor elementor-1272\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-3ae085e0 elementor-section-height-min-height elementor-section-stretched elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-items-middle\" data-id=\"3ae085e0\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;stretch_section&quot;:&quot;section-stretched&quot;,&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-no\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3c1d21a7\" data-id=\"3c1d21a7\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-467be76f elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"467be76f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-6505e559 elementor-widget__width-auto elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"6505e559\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">E-World<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2d6ee74a elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"2d6ee74a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-691dfde0 elementor-widget__width-auto elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"691dfde0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Neuigkeiten 2026<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-1502f591 elementor-section-stretched elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"1502f591\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;stretch_section&quot;:&quot;section-stretched&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-41b9f8ea\" data-id=\"41b9f8ea\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-42f497b7 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"42f497b7\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">In the rapidly evolving gas markets, market-oriented and stochastic valuation of natural gas storage facilities, contracts, and procurement portfolios is becoming increasingly important. Stochastic optimization allows for the mapping of market fluctuations. We offer solutions in the following areas, among others:<\/span><\/span><\/p><h3><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Gas procurement portfolio optimization<\/span><\/span><\/h3><ul><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Decision support for structured gas procurement on futures and day-ahead markets<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Flexibility to cover sales loads, even in partially illiquid markets, is ensured through flexible contracts or gas storage.<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Illustration of the full complexity of procurement portfolios: gas and oil market-indexed supply contracts, gas storage facilities, transport restrictions, various market areas, &#8230;<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Our solution: Optimization using stochastic market prices and sales load profiles, risk-adjusted management of open positions in futures markets<\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ul><h3><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Evaluation of gas storage facilities and flexible gas supply contracts<\/span><\/span><\/h3><ul><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Intrinsic and extrinsic valuation of gas storage facilities and flexible gas supply contracts with highly complex volume restrictions and energy price formulas<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Modeling and scenario generation of forward and day-ahead natural gas markets<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Estimation of volatility, mean reversion, and correlation parameters from historical price movements<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Modeling the real-world marketing of storage and contracts &#8211; joint representation in the spot and futures markets<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Dynamic hedging \u2013 risk-free profits can be captured by rebalancing the futures market portfolio.<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Our solution: Joint stochastic optimization of spot and futures market management in all paths of a scenario tree.<\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ul><h3><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Your advantages with stochastic optimization<\/span><\/span><\/h3><figure class=\"w-richtext-figure-type-image w-richtext-align-floatright\" data-rt-type=\"image\" data-rt-align=\"floatright\"><div><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/assets.website-files.com\/5c6fd02e6978d217448b286f\/5c6fd0818128cbda7423d2b5_csm_Inputkurven_513356898e.png\" \/><\/div><\/figure><p><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The intrinsic value of a flexible asset, such as a gas storage facility or a gas supply contract, is the value that can be achieved given current market prices. Due to its flexibility, the asset&#8217;s future value, which can be generated by changing spot and futures market prices, is significantly higher. This extrinsic value is determined based on stochastic optimization. This can be performed for individual assets or for entire procurement portfolios.<\/span><\/span><\/p><p><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">In addition to the intrinsic and extrinsic valuation of assets or asset portfolios, stochastic optimization is used to determine more efficient decisions in the daily management of gas storage facilities, gas contracts, or procurement portfolios. This includes both day-ahead asset management and trading on spot and futures markets.<\/span><\/span><\/p><p><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">In practice, the stochastic optimization of natural gas portfolios has demonstrably led to higher profits or lower procurement costs.<\/span><\/span><\/p><p><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">The following steps are carried out for the stochastic evaluation and optimization of gas industry assets.<\/span><\/span><\/p><ul><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Estimation of the volatility, mean reversion, and correlation parameters of all market prices (day-ahead and forward)<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Scenario generation of day-ahead market prices<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Scenario generation of futures market product prices (correlations between futures market products and with day-ahead markets are taken into account)<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Scenario generation of load profiles<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Joint stochastic optimization of gas industry portfolios<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Determination of profit distributions or procurement cost distributions<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Determination of shadow prices (valuation of gas in future management periods)<\/span><\/span><\/li><li><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">Derivation of trade and management decisions<\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ul><p><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">More detailed information about our modeling can be found in the\u00a0 <\/span><\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/dtrees.com\/fileadmin\/images\/Bilder\/Startseite\/DT_Storage_engl_14.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-rt-link-type=\"external\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\">brochure<\/span><\/span><\/a><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"><span dir=\"auto\" style=\"vertical-align: inherit;\"> 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10.1h-46.6c-5.5 0-9.7-2.9-12.9-8.7l-66-120.3c2.3-4.1 36.8-64.9 103.4-182.3 3.3-5.8 7.4-8.7 12.5-8.7h46.9c5.7-.1 8.8 4.7 6 10z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-77d1212c\" data-id=\"77d1212c\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1b2bcdd4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1b2bcdd4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>\u00a9 Decision Trees GmbH &#8211; All rights reserved<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div 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markets, market-oriented and stochastic valuation of natural gas storage facilities, contracts, and procurement portfolios is becoming increasingly important. Stochastic optimization allows for the mapping of market fluctuations. We offer solutions in the following areas, among others: Gas procurement portfolio optimization Decision support for structured gas procurement on [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1272","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","wpbf-post"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1272","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1272"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1272\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1372,"href":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1272\/revisions\/1372"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dev.dtrees.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1272"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}